Contrary to game-theoretic concerns, miners will continue to mine bitcoin and the network will not collapse at the halvening due to lack of mining

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-07; known on 2016-07-19; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-09.

• themusicgod1 estimated 94% on 2016-07-07
• two2thehead estimated 90% and said “Don’t know anything about the market value of bitcoin but I do know about irrational exuberance. ” on 2016-07-07
• Medea estimated 90% on 2016-07-08
• themusicgod1 said “over 1000 transactions post halvening so far, with 14+ minute delay per next block…within a few hours we should know whether something is up.” on 2016-07-09
• gwern said “already there’s been 4 blocks since #420,000” on 2016-07-09
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction right on 2016-07-09.