Augur (Ethereum prediction market) will launch in 2016
- Dapple estimated 60% on 2016-07-13
- gwern said “testnet is up, but Augur is not formally launched, and launch now scheduled for more like mid-2017 (UI and security reviews)” on 2017-01-01
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.
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