“sales of touch screen phones will rise from 200,000 in 2006 to over 21 million in 2012”

Created by gwern on 2010-09-27; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by Tuxedage on 2013-01-01.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2010-09-27
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm” on 2010-09-27
• Jennifer estimated 97% and said “183 million units sold in 2009. In 2010 the only real question is whether the numbers will swiftly decline due to a black swan.” on 2010-09-29
• Tuxedage said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SmartphoneSafe to say that the number of touchscreen phones exceed far more than 21 million. Judged right.” on 2013-01-01
• Tuxedage   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-01.