Larry Page will survive 5 years as Google CEO

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-05-03; known on 2018-05-02; judged right by davatk on 2018-05-08.

• RandomThinker estimated 75% on 2013-05-03
• gwern estimated 90% and said “what could possibly push him out?” on 2013-05-03
• RandomThinker said “He could get sick, or get bored. CEO’s don’t last more than 6 years typically, and he’s been doing it for 2 years already.” on 2013-05-03
• Tuxedage estimated 85% on 2013-05-05
• Michael Dickens estimated 65% on 2013-06-16
• PseudonymousUser estimated 65% on 2013-11-14
• themusicgod1 said “Google or Alphabet?” on 2016-04-15
• PseudonymousUser said “I would go with Alphabet… GOOG shares became Alphabet shares, and “Google” is now a subset of Google’2013” on 2016-04-16
• RandomThinker said “The Alphabet thing saved him… for now. It’s hard being public company CEO even if you hold all the voting power.” on 2017-01-16
• davatk   judged this prediction right on 2018-05-08.