A stem cell cure for baldness will be commercially/medically available

Created by gwern on 2010-09-27; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2010-09-27
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#baldness-cure” on 2010-09-27
• gwern said “I should note my low probability comes mostly from a deep belief in the slowness of the FDA” on 2010-09-27
• gimpf estimated 3% on 2010-12-12
• gwern said “not seeing anything but speculation and lab prototype s in google; marking wrong” on 2013-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.