'16 nanometer chips are in mass production' by 2014

Created by gwern on 2010-09-28; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-01-01.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2010-09-28
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#16nm” on 2010-09-28
• Larks estimated 30% on 2010-09-29
• PseudonymousUser said “Micron’s M600 is an SSD with 16nm chips; Intel’s 14nm Broadwell chips have already made it into the Lenovo Yoga 3 Pro” on 2015-01-01
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2015-01-01.