'Most phone calls are made via the Internet' in 2014

Created by gwern on 2010-09-28; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2015-01-21.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2010-09-28
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#voip” on 2010-09-28
• gwern said “I interpret this as a claim about end-user software, not telecom backend infrastructure development.” on 2010-09-28
• Larks estimated 5% on 2010-09-29
• Bagricula estimated 30% and said “would require revolutionary reorganization of smartphone industry” on 2010-09-29
• divide estimated 5% on 2010-09-29
• Houshalter estimated 4% on 2010-10-01
• Jack said “Define “phone call”.” on 2010-10-10
• jasticE estimated 10% on 2010-10-14
• Ken estimated 0% and said “probability estimate would be much higher if this were limited to developed countries only” on 2011-09-13
• JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2011-09-13
• saturn estimated 25% on 2012-03-28
• RandomThinker said “Pretty sure this didn’t happen.” on 2015-01-21
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-21.