'Laser guns are in naval use' in 2016

Created by gwern on 2010-09-28; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2017-01-01.

• gwern estimated 60% on 2010-09-28
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#laser-guns” on 2010-09-28
• gwern estimated 50% and said “the navy doesn’t really have the budget for new ships, but I’m sure there will be a prototype mounted somewhere” on 2010-09-28
• Bagricula estimated 70% and said “bureaucracy more than expense is risk” on 2010-09-29
• Houshalter estimated 70% on 2010-10-01
• gimpf said “Well, prototype, yes, but “in use”… Question too unclear.” on 2010-12-12
• themusicgod1 said “http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-06-27/us-navy-begin-testing-powerful-150-kilowatt-laser-weapon-system ?” on 2016-08-21
• gwern said “apparently it’s even authorized for defense use: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laser_Weapon_System I’m going to mark correct.” on 2017-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2017-01-01.