President Trump jailed

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-09; known on 2017-11-09; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2017-11-09.

• themusicgod1 estimated 12% on 2016-11-09
• sflicht estimated 1% on 2016-11-09
• JoshuaZ said “Is the intended due date supposed to be that soon? ” on 2016-11-09
• themusicgod1 said “Yes. 1 year. ” on 2016-11-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2016-11-09
• themusicgod1 said “https://www.facebookcorewwwi.onion/dbgerhard/posts/10154546978080731?comment_id=10154549293790731&ref=notif&notif_t=feed_comment_reply&notif_id=1478736243703378” on 2016-11-10
• trishume said “Isn’t the president immune to prosecution, and can only be impeached?” on 2016-11-10
• trishume estimated 2% on 2016-11-10
• jesseh estimated 1% on 2016-11-10
• themusicgod1 said “@trishume Sure, but note I didn’t say in america. Watch carefully what happens when he starts travelling abroad. ” on 2016-11-13
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 1% on 2016-11-13
• jbeshir estimated 1% and said “The secret service would check for things like whether the host government was going to try to arrest them. Doing so by surprise would be the kind of diplomatic incident which would get you invaded by the US. Leader arrests are extremely rare.” on 2016-11-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2016-11-14
• hedges estimated 2% on 2016-11-16
• two2thehead estimated 1% and said “Less than one percent” on 2016-11-16
• Osuniev estimated 1% on 2016-11-21
• davidmanheim estimated 0% and said “He can’t be jailed, or even convicted of anything by then – even if he’s charged, it won’t be resolved quickly.” on 2016-12-12
• gwern estimated 0% and said “no sitting American president has ever been jailed” on 2017-01-01
• playablecharacter estimated 0% on 2017-01-02
• WilliamBerkeley estimated 0% on 2017-01-13
• daccount10 estimated 0% on 2017-01-22
• Temeraire estimated 0% on 2017-01-29
• gwern estimated 2% and said “no foreign country would ever dare. thus this requires impeachment, then conviction (not the same thing!), then stiff sentence, then not waiving it in favor of home detention etc. Rich powerful people get treated more leniently. much less so soon!” on 2017-03-31
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2017-08-08
• timmartin estimated 1% on 2017-09-20
• Flenser estimated 0% on 2017-11-09
• jamesrom estimated 0% on 2017-11-09
• Tenobrus estimated 0% on 2017-11-09
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-11-09.