Trump survives his presidency

Created by Osuniev on 2016-11-21; known on 2021-01-01

  • Osuniev estimated 99% on 2016-11-21
  • themusicgod1 estimated 73% on 2016-11-21
  • splorridge estimated 98% on 2016-11-24
  • Bruno Parga estimated 85% and said “His (first) term ends on 2021-01-20, the end date of the prediction should be updated to reflect that.on 2016-11-29
  • two2thehead estimated 98% and said “I am taking this to mean that he is alive at the known on date.on 2016-11-29
  • RainbowSpacedancer estimated 95% on 2016-12-04
  • playablecharacter estimated 97% on 2017-01-02
  • gwern said “so this is just ‘Trump will be alive on 1 January 2021’?on 2017-03-31

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