I will attempt suicide within the following decade.
Created by Tuxedage on 2013-05-08; known on 2020-01-01; judged unknown by Tuxedage on 2021-11-02.
- Tuxedage estimated 5% on 2013-05-08
- Tuxedage said “If this date passes and I don’t mark it wrong, assume that I’m dead and that this prediction is correct.” on 2013-05-08
- Tuxedage said “Consequently, I will tell an IRL friend to mark this “wrong” if I die through an accident. I will leave my predictionbook account in his hands.” on 2013-05-08
- Tuxedage said “This post is inspired by Leotal’s prediction’s success.” on 2013-05-08
- RobertLumley said “Please don’t.” on 2013-05-14
- jtc510 said “Whoa. Why would you make this? Death is bad…5% is still a higher chance than you should give yourself.” on 2013-07-01
- Tuxedage estimated 10% on 2014-02-13
- Mati estimated 2% and said “Don’t let your brain kill you :/ http://lostallhope.com/suicide-statistics” on 2014-02-14
- gwern said “The last I heard of Tuxedage a few yeas agp, he was still alive, so if he attempted it before then, it wasn’t successful.” on 2020-01-01
- Mati estimated 10% on 2020-02-24
- Andrew MacFie judged this prediction right on 2020-02-26.
- Andrew MacFie said “(as per Tuxedage’s dictum above)” on 2020-03-02
- Andrew MacFie said “(I assume and certainly hope Tuxedage will re-judge this wrong)” on 2020-03-05
- Leo judged this prediction unknown on 2021-10-31.
- Leo said “Tuxedage is alive as of recently and I have not heard of an attempt. Setting back to “unknown”.” on 2021-10-31
- Tuxedage judged this prediction wrong on 2021-11-02.
- Tuxedage judged this prediction unknown on 2021-11-02.
- Tuxedage judged this prediction wrong on 2021-11-02.
- Leo said “Congrats!!” on 2021-11-02
- Tuxedage judged this prediction unknown on 2021-11-02.