Donal Trump will be inaugurated President
Created by asyks on 2016-12-27; known on 2017-01-20; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-20.
- asyks estimated 75% on 2016-12-27
- themusicgod1 estimated 97% on 2016-12-27
- Balazs estimated 100% on 2016-12-27
- Rob Bednark estimated 95% on 2016-12-28
- two2thehead estimated 99% and said “As close to a certainty as could be.” on 2016-12-28
- tbrmaster estimated 99% on 2016-12-29
- RoryS estimated 98% on 2016-12-29
- Adam Zerner estimated 99% on 2016-12-30
- Bruno Parga estimated 98% on 2016-12-31
- mortehu said “See also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/180206” on 2016-12-31
- gwern estimated 99% and said “19-day mortality is like 0.003% and chance of assassination is also like 1%, so…” on 2017-01-01
- playablecharacter estimated 99% on 2017-01-02
- davidmanheim estimated 99% on 2017-01-02
- Jach estimated 99% on 2017-01-03
- Tony Boyles estimated 99% on 2017-01-03
- jasticE estimated 99% on 2017-01-03
- Temeraire estimated 99% on 2017-01-05
- adbge estimated 99% on 2017-01-05
- Faceh estimated 95% on 2017-01-06
- equivrel estimated 97% and said “chances of assassination are 1-3%.” on 2017-01-07
- ioannes estimated 98% on 2017-01-11
- WilliamBerkeley estimated 98% on 2017-01-13
- arpanagarawal estimated 98% on 2017-01-15
- themusicgod1 judged this prediction right on 2017-01-20.