HP MoR: Quirrellmort is responsible for framing Hermione.

Created by DrDiaphanous on 2013-05-10; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by DrDiaphanous on 2015-02-19.

  • DrDiaphanous estimated 40% on 2013-05-10
  • gwern estimated 50% and said “note the overlap with Cloak & Hat: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/6608on 2013-06-10
  • DrDiaphanous changed the deadline from “on 2014-01-01” and changed their prediction from “In HPMOR, Quirrellmort is responsible for framing Hermione.” on 2013-06-10
  • ygert estimated 80% on 2013-06-10
  • Kurosymph estimated 30% on 2013-06-27
  • Benja estimated 75% on 2013-06-28
  • ShIxtan estimated 54% on 2013-06-30
  • 75th estimated 100% on 2013-07-13
  • nigr estimated 90% and said “yeson 2013-08-15
  • player_03 estimated 40% on 2014-04-26
  • qznc estimated 40% on 2014-07-14
  • DrDiaphanous  judged this prediction right on 2015-02-19.

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