HP MoR: Hermione alone is responsible for the attempted murder.

Created by DrDiaphanous on 2013-05-10; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by DrDiaphanous on 2015-02-19.

  • DrDiaphanous estimated 10% on 2013-05-10
  • gwern estimated 1% on 2013-06-10
  • DrDiaphanous changed the deadline from “on 2014-01-01” and changed their prediction from “In HPMOR, Hermione alone is responsible for the attempted murder.” on 2013-06-10
  • ShIxtan estimated 1% on 2013-06-30
  • mkrop estimated 20% on 2013-07-01
  • 75th estimated 0% on 2013-07-13
  • qznc estimated 30% on 2014-07-14
  • DrDiaphanous  judged this prediction wrong on 2015-02-19.

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