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No terrorist attack in the in any First World country (European Union, UK, US, Japan, Australia) will kill >1000 people in 2017

Created by ioannes on 2017-01-20; known on 2018-01-16; judged right by ioannes on 2018-01-17.

  • ioannes estimated 95% on 2017-01-20
  • ioannes said “h/t http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176966on 2017-01-20
  • ioannes changed the deadline from “on 2018-01-16” and changed their prediction from “No terrorist attack in the in any First World country (Western Europe, US, Japan, Australia) will kill >1000 people in 2017” on 2017-01-21
  • themusicgod1 estimated 76% on 2017-01-21
  • two2thehead estimated 99% on 2017-01-21
  • ioannes   judged this prediction right on 2018-01-17.