Uber will go bankrupt, dissolve, or merge with another company by the end of 2018

Created by sdr on 2017-03-20; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

• sdr estimated 60% on 2017-03-20
• gwern estimated 30% on 2017-03-21
• elephantower estimated 30% on 2017-03-21
• themusicgod1 estimated 49% on 2017-03-22
• penten estimated 25% on 2017-03-22
• plantony estimated 45% on 2017-03-31
• pkfalu92 estimated 39% on 2017-05-01
• 117brian estimated 30% on 2017-05-20
• ioannes estimated 10% and said “They have enough cash to stay alive until end of 2018 even if their business starts to fail: https://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/21/business/dealbook/why-uber-keeps-raising-billions.html” on 2017-05-21
• Medea estimated 15% on 2017-10-15
• timmartin estimated 10% on 2017-11-04
• enolan estimated 10% on 2018-03-23
• davatk estimated 5% on 2018-04-26
• unexpectedEOF estimated 5% on 2018-06-01
• pranomostro estimated 10% on 2018-09-02
• sdr estimated 10% and said “Updated based on recent evidence” on 2018-09-03
• pranomostro estimated 10% on 2018-09-19
• rk estimated 0% and said “https://pastebin.com/MFkrgZDx” on 2018-10-12
• JTPeterson estimated 5% on 2018-10-13
• peter_hurford estimated 1% on 2018-10-19
• vinegar estimated 10% on 2018-10-25
• Selentelechia estimated 2% on 2018-11-13
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2018-12-12
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-01-01.