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Maduro will not be president of Venezuela within one year

Created by two2thehead on 2017-05-07; known on 2018-05-07; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2018-05-10.

  • two2thehead estimated 80% on 2017-05-07
  • two2thehead said “If he is deposed in a coup or resigns this is marked as correct. If he dies in office this is marked as correct.on 2017-05-07
  • gwern estimated 33% on 2017-05-07
  • themusicgod1 estimated 49% on 2017-05-07
  • two2thehead   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-05-10.