President Trump will resign on his 146 th day in office

Created by John8128 10 days ago; known in 20 days

  • John8128 estimated 65% 10 days ago
  • themusicgod1 estimated 4% 9 days ago
  • Jayson Virissimo said “Exactly, or anytime before?9 days ago
  • themusicgod1 said “on means exactly. by would mean before9 days ago
  • penten estimated 1% 9 days ago
  • Nve estimated 0% and said “Never say never right?8 days ago
  • Bismagician estimated 0% and said “Technically I’m guessing .00149% chance, considering I’m 98% certain he completes his first term, 2% divided by the remaining 1,342 days is about .00149%.8 days ago
  • danielfilan estimated 0% 7 days ago
  • piers109uk estimated 0% and said “I am offended by the concept of “0%” chance, but “epsilon” doesn’t seem to be a valid input.6 days ago
  • JoshuaZ estimated 0% 5 days ago
  • JoshuaZ estimated 0% 5 days ago
  • brunoparga estimated 0% 3 days ago
  • HonoreDB estimated 0% and said “I want to hear the kabbalah behind this, though :p3 days ago
  • tedks estimated 46% and said “piers, 0 and 100 are understood on predictionbook to mean what they should.Personally I’m not so convinced of the source of this claim, but it seems realistic.1 day ago
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 0% 1 day ago
  • holycow81 said “Why 146th?1 day ago
  • gwern estimated 0% 1 day ago
  • holycow81 estimated 0% about 7 hours ago

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