Google will survive for five more years
Created by NancyLebovitz on 2013-05-19; known on 2018-05-19; judged right by NancyLebovitz on 2018-05-19.
- NancyLebovitz estimated 95% on 2013-05-19
- NancyLebovitz said “Just including this for neatness because of gwern’s list of predictions about various Google products” on 2013-05-19
- RandomThinker estimated 97% on 2013-05-19
- Tuxedage estimated 100% on 2013-05-20
- tylercurtis estimated 90% on 2013-05-20
- Dapple estimated 98% on 2013-05-21
- JoshuaZ estimated 100% on 2013-05-21
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 90% on 2013-05-21
- gwern estimated 98% on 2013-05-22
- beo_shaffer estimated 99% on 2013-05-22
- PseudonymousUser estimated 96% on 2013-05-26
- holycow81 estimated 99% on 2013-05-27
- atroche estimated 100% on 2013-05-30
- procran estimated 99% on 2013-05-31
- lilia estimated 90% on 2013-05-31
- Ken estimated 100% and said “where survive = continue to exist as a US corporation with revenues” on 2013-06-17
- jasticE estimated 99% on 2013-06-19
- ShIxtan estimated 99% on 2013-06-30
- lavalamp estimated 98% on 2013-07-02
- alecbrooks estimated 98% on 2013-10-06
- adbge estimated 98% on 2013-10-06
- Flipnash estimated 100% on 2013-10-07
- tylercurtis estimated 99% on 2013-10-07
- drewmm estimated 99% on 2013-10-07
- atroche estimated 95% on 2013-11-13
- Samm estimated 99% on 2013-11-14
- Mati estimated 99% on 2014-02-12
- mad estimated 100% on 2014-02-13
- raisin estimated 99% and said “Google currently stands on such a firm ground so I’d take this as a prediction for a total economical collapse/WWIII/etc. happening.” on 2014-05-17
- player_03 estimated 95% and said “Good point about societal collapse. :(” on 2014-05-19
- from3004 estimated 85% on 2014-10-16
- Unknowns estimated 99% on 2015-03-15
- RoryS estimated 99% on 2015-04-19
- Chri estimated 99% on 2015-04-27
- btrettel estimated 99% on 2015-06-16
- unexpectedEOF estimated 100% on 2015-08-15
- themusicgod1 estimated 97% on 2016-03-15
- enolan estimated 99% on 2018-03-23
- crabman estimated 100% on 2018-04-11
- NancyLebovitz judged this prediction right on 2018-05-19.
- NancyLebovitz said “We have a consensus that this was an easy one.” on 2018-05-19