Playstation 4/successor PS3 released by 2017

Created by gwern on 2010-10-05; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2016-10-06.

• gwern estimated 30% on 2010-10-05
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#playstation4” on 2010-10-05
• gwern said “good odds there will be no successor at all” on 2010-10-05
• PseudonymousUser said “2013 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PlayStation_4” on 2016-10-06
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2016-10-06.