Warren Buffett: All cars on the road will be electric by year 2030

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-05-20; known on 2030-01-01

• RandomThinker estimated 35% on 2013-05-20
• RandomThinker said “I’ll give it to him if more than 2/3 of new cars sold in the year 2030 are electric. http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/2009/11/warren-buffett-all-cars-will-be-electric-in-20-years/” on 2013-05-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2013-05-20
• JoshuaZ said “Using RandomThinker’s interpretation. ” on 2013-05-20
• RandomThinker changed their prediction from “Warren Buffettt: All cars on the road will be electric by year 2030” on 2013-05-20
• holycow81 estimated 60% on 2013-05-27
• gwern estimated 40% and said “by randomthinker (obviously false as stated, people will be driving 2013 cars in 2030 in the absence of coercion!)” on 2013-06-02
• procran estimated 30% and said “Assuming this refers to the USA.” on 2013-06-02
• RandomThinker said “@procran yes that was my original intent, although since Warren Buffett is investing in China, I’ll give him this if this is true in either U.S. or China. It’s not inconceivable that China can leapfrog US here.” on 2013-06-03
• ShIxtan estimated 60% on 2013-06-30
• lavalamp estimated 30% and said “Using RandomThinker’s definition, and adding that hybrids don’t count.” on 2013-07-02
• RandomThinker said “I think this is much more likely than I previously thought. Warren Buffett is a smart guy.” on 2013-11-08
• Nithi estimated 15% on 2014-01-23
• pranomostro estimated 47% on 2018-12-08
• Baeboo estimated 40% on 2018-12-12
• deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-04-26
• NickN estimated 1% on 2020-08-16
• n99 estimated 1% and said “All roads? No chance” on 2022-10-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2022-10-29