Strait of Messina bridge completed by 2017

Created by gwern on 2010-10-05; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2017-01-01.

• gwern estimated 20% on 2010-10-05
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#messina-bridge” on 2010-10-05
• gwern said “only a fool bets on anything happening ontime in Greece or Italy” on 2010-10-05
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% and said ““In February 2013, the project was shut down by the government for lack of funds.” https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strait_of_Messina_Bridge” on 2016-10-06
• themusicgod1 estimated 5% on 2016-10-06
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.