e-paper in wide use by 2018

Created by gwern on 2010-10-07; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2018-01-01.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2010-10-07
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#epaper” on 2010-10-07
• PseudonymousUser estimated 35% on 2011-01-21
• PseudonymousUser said “http://www.justpublishingadvice.com/the-e-reader-device-is-dying-a-rapid-death/” on 2016-10-06
• themusicgod1 estimated 36% on 2016-10-06
• PseudonymousUser said ““Ultra-thin smartphones, clothing and textiles with electronic displays, video ID cards, video leaflets, road signs that are self-illuminating, video instructions on food and other packaging – […] just some of the items to feature this technology.”” on 2018-01-01
• PseudonymousUser said “I know that e-readers are still around but this one definitely feels more wrong than right” on 2018-01-01
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.
• gwern said “agree with wrong. I think e-readers may actually have declined since 2010: I used to see Kindles everywhere, now they’re rare. And that’s the only use for e-paper of note these days.” on 2018-01-01