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I will be admitted to the 2017 Envision Conference

Created by btrettel on 2017-08-13; known on 2017-12-01; judged right by btrettel on 2017-08-28.

  • btrettel estimated 10% on 2017-08-13
  • btrettel said “I was not admitted last year. https://predictionbook.com/predictions/179955” on 2017-08-13
  • btrettel said “Based on an email I received from them last year, they admitted 115 out of more than 350 applicants. So I’d guess the base rate is about 30%, and given my lack of admission last year 10% seems reasonable to me.” on 2017-08-13
  • btrettel   judged this prediction right on 2017-08-28.