Tony Abbott will be the Prime Minister following the 2013 Australian Federal Election

Created by atroche on 2013-05-26; known on 2013-12-01; judged right by atroche on 2013-12-01.

• atroche estimated 90% on 2013-05-26
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2013-05-26
• Ben Doherty estimated 51% on 2013-05-28
• gwern estimated 50% on 2013-06-02
• waveman estimated 75% and said “I think if they switch to Rudd the ALP has a chance” on 2013-06-17
• JayDee estimated 60% on 2013-08-21
• Ben Doherty estimated 55% on 2013-08-27
• atroche   judged this prediction right on 2013-12-01.
• waveman said “I was right!” on 2013-12-03