“The ITER experimental fusion reactor is switched on” in 2019

Created by gwern on 2010-10-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.

• gwern estimated 33% on 2010-10-19
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#iter” on 2010-10-19
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2016-10-06
• gwern estimated 4% and said “http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2014/03/03/a-star-in-a-bottle turnon now officially past 2019: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ITER” on 2016-10-06
• themusicgod1 estimated 9% on 2016-10-06
• pranomostro estimated 1% and said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ITER#Timeline_and_current_status” on 2019-01-09
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2019-01-10
• Pablo estimated 0% on 2019-12-31
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.