“Bionic eyes are commercially available” in 2019

Created by gwern on 2010-10-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by btrettel on 2020-01-01.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2010-10-19
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#bionic-eyes” on 2010-10-19
• gwern said “uncertain because I haven’t looked into what trials are ongoing” on 2010-10-19
• btrettel estimated 10% on 2015-08-25
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 15% on 2019-01-09
• Baeboo estimated 15% on 2019-01-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2019-04-12
• btrettel   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.