By 2030, mothers will be the primary breadwinner in the majority of households with children in the U.S.

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-05-29; known on 2030-01-01

• RandomThinker estimated 55% on 2013-05-29
• RandomThinker said “Right now, they’re the top earner in 4 out of 10 households, so this would require them to be in 5 out of 10. http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2013/05/29/business/ap-ap-us-breadwinner-moms.html?hp&_r=0” on 2013-05-29
• RandomThinker said “It would be a big change socially because that would mean the majority of children would believe, based on personal evidence, that mom’s are the breadwinner.” on 2013-05-29
• RandomThinker changed their prediction from “By 2030, mothers will be the primary breadwinner in the majority of households with children” on 2013-05-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 48% on 2013-05-30
• Tuxedage estimated 70% on 2013-06-02
• procran estimated 45% on 2013-06-02
• gwern estimated 45% and said “from 1960 to 2013, +0.5% per year, it seems, so we’d expect +8.5% or 49% in the next 17 years; expect growth to have been fastest early on, things seem to’ve stabilized recently as far as divorce goes, so probably less likely than not” on 2013-06-02
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 40% on 2013-06-03
• Michael Dickens estimated 35% on 2013-06-16
• ShIxtan estimated 25% on 2013-06-30
• William-Quixote estimated 55% on 2013-07-12
• pranomostro estimated 30% on 2018-12-08
• deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-04-26
• qznc estimated 30% on 2020-04-15
• PseudonymousUser estimated 20% on 2020-04-18