the Large Aral Sea gone in 2019

Created by gwern on 2010-10-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.

• gwern estimated 60% on 2010-10-19
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#aralsea” on 2010-10-19
• gwern said “developing countries have very bad environmental records; look at China or Egypt’s damming” on 2010-10-19
• Raahul_Kumar said “Aral Sea was dried up in 2008. Or is the prediction about 100% instead of 90%?https://themeaningofwater.files.wordpress.com/2015/08/aral-sea-1989-2008.jpg” on 2016-02-17
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 70% on 2019-01-09
• pranomostro estimated 55% on 2019-01-09
• pranomostro said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aral_sea#North_Aral_Sea_restoration_work” on 2019-01-09
• Baeboo estimated 55% on 2019-01-10
• Bruno Parga said “The Large Aral Sea is also called the South Aral Sea (referring to the first, 1987 split). The westernmost basin of the Large Sea seems to still exist and be stable.” on 2020-01-01
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.