“Global oil demand exceeds 100m barrels per day” in 2019

Created by gwern on 2010-10-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by pranomostro on 2020-02-09.

• gwern estimated 60% on 2010-10-19
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#peakoil” on 2010-10-19
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 30% and said “See https://www.iea.org/oilmarketreport/omrpublic/” on 2019-01-09
• pranomostro said “Though that feels awfully low.” on 2019-01-09
• Baeboo estimated 50% on 2019-01-10
• pranomostro said “Routers says yes: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iea-oil/iea-cuts-2019-estimate-for-oil-demand-growth-on-global-trade-worries-idUSKCN1TF0TA” on 2020-02-09
• pranomostro said ““The Paris-based IEA, which coordinates the energy policies of industrial nations, revised down its 2019 demand growth estimate by 100,000 barrels to 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd), but said it would climb to 1.4 million bpd for 2020.”” on 2020-02-09
• pranomostro   judged this prediction right on 2020-02-09.