General election will occur in Tunisia before the end of 2013

Created by lilia on 2013-05-31; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2014-01-02.

• lilia estimated 60% on 2013-05-31
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2013-05-31
• gwern estimated 50% on 2013-06-02
• PseudonymousUser said “didn’t happen; maybe it will this year https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tunisian_general_election,_2014” on 2014-01-02
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-01-02.