PredictionBook.com will be up and running 10 years from today – 5/31/2023 – with this individual prediction still accessible.

Created by FestiveBleak on 2013-05-31; known on 2023-05-31; judged right by holycow81 on 2023-10-24.

• FestiveBleak estimated 65% on 2013-05-31
• tylercurtis estimated 70% on 2013-06-01
• Tuxedage estimated 97% on 2013-06-02
• procran estimated 40% on 2013-06-02
• gwern estimated 60% on 2013-06-02
• gwern said “I’m pessimistic because it hasn’t been very successful to date and it wouldn’t be surprising if Trike decided to pass it on or shut it down.” on 2013-06-02
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 55% on 2013-06-06
• holycow81 estimated 100% on 2013-06-09
• antsan estimated 50% on 2013-06-10
• jasticE estimated 70% on 2013-06-19
• saturn estimated 50% on 2013-06-25
• alecbrooks estimated 60% on 2013-06-29
• ShIxtan estimated 60% on 2013-06-30
• from3004 estimated 70% on 2014-10-16
• Medea estimated 75% on 2017-10-15
• themusicgod1 estimated 51% on 2017-10-15
• two2thehead estimated 51% on 2017-10-16
• PseudonymousUser estimated 70% on 2017-10-16
• pranomostro estimated 90% on 2018-12-08
• Baeboo estimated 77% on 2018-12-12
• AlexLamson estimated 25% on 2019-04-16
• deleteyourbrain estimated 100% on 2019-04-26
• AlexLamson estimated 70% on 2019-05-20
• NickN estimated 90% on 2020-08-16
• Baeboo estimated 86% on 2020-08-16
• Baeboo estimated 90% on 2020-11-20
• hampuslj estimated 85% on 2021-02-20
• Baeboo estimated 91% on 2021-02-20
• n99 estimated 98% on 2022-10-28
• Reinersaltaccount estimated 84% on 2023-03-12
• holycow81   judged this prediction right on 2023-10-24.