Bitcoin at 40,000,000$/BTC (or equivalent in VEF or other currency) on any market where trading occurs

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-10-13; known on 2020-03-01; judged wrong by stepan on 2020-03-04.

• themusicgod1 estimated 51% on 2017-10-13
• PseudonymousUser said “someone could create a very illiquid market that prices BTC at 40M USD” on 2017-10-13
• Bruno Parga said “Suggestion to the liquidity problem: use BitcoinAverage or some other aggregator.” on 2017-10-17
• themusicgod1 said “That’s silly. Most of the markets served by BitcoinAverage have spy-on-your-customer provisions. ” on 2017-10-18
• themusicgod1 said “btw localbitcoinVEF is not an illiquid market. it’s an active an growing one. https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-exchange-localbitcoins-posts-fourfold-trading-volume-increase-in-venezuela” on 2017-10-19
• Michael Dickens estimated 1% and said “I’m gonna assume that something like bobpage’s scenario doesn’t count” on 2017-10-28
• Michael Dickens said “https://predictionbook.com/predictions/182609 apparently themusicgod1 likes judging predictions as right when they are clearly not. If they mark this prediction as right, I will un-mark it.” on 2017-10-28
• themusicgod1 said “Obviously we disagree what is “clearly right” in this case. ” on 2017-10-28
• Tenobrus estimated 0% and said “Unless there is a typo, this is suggesting Bitcoin would have a market cap over 100 times the global GDP within 2 years” on 2017-11-09
• stepan estimated 0% on 2020-02-24
• stepan   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-03-04.