'Sweden becomes the first oil-free country' by 2021

Created by gwern on 2010-10-23; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.

• gwern estimated 55% on 2010-10-23
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2020-2029.htm#swedenoilfree” on 2010-10-23
• Grognor estimated 18% on 2011-12-06
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 5% on 2012-04-29
• RandomThinker estimated 2% on 2012-04-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2012-04-29
• themusicgod1 estimated 29% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 35% on 2019-01-09
• pranomostro said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Making_Sweden_an_Oil-Free_Society” on 2019-01-09
• pranomostro said “Especiall https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Making_Sweden_an_Oil-Free_Society#Progress” on 2019-01-09
• Baeboo estimated 35% on 2019-01-10
• NickN estimated 0% and said “Doesn’t seem likely https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/sweden/oil-consumption” on 2020-08-17
• Bruno Parga said “https://www.worldometers.info/oil/sweden-oil/#.” on 2021-01-01
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.