CPUs switch from silicon to carbon nanotubes by 2022

Created by gwern on 2010-10-24; known on 2022-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2022-01-01.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2010-10-24
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2020-2029.htm#traditionalmicrochips” on 2010-10-24
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% and said “2024?” on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 20% on 2019-01-09
• pranomostro estimated 15% on 2019-01-09
• gwern said “As always, bet on silicon.” on 2022-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2022-01-01.