By 2020, there will be a new World government. —Ray Kurzweil

Created by gwern on 2010-10-26; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.

• gwern estimated 1% on 2010-10-26
• gwern said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#2020-2050” on 2010-10-26
• gwern said “obviously the UN, even a bit more powerful, doesn’t count.” on 2010-10-26
• TheScholar estimated 10% on 2010-10-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2011-07-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 20% on 2011-08-07
• saturn estimated 1% on 2012-03-28
• Pablo estimated 2% on 2012-10-01
• Aticper estimated 1% on 2012-10-24
• RandomThinker estimated 3% and said “Ray Kurzweil is easy points for being wrong.” on 2012-10-24
• halfwit estimated 0% on 2013-06-10
• two2thehead estimated 0% on 2016-04-21
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2016-04-21
• pranomostro estimated 1% on 2019-01-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2019-01-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2019-04-12
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2019-04-12
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.