We will fairly convincingly know who Satoshi Nakamoto is in five years.

Created by JohnGreer on 2018-04-13; known on 2023-04-13; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2023-08-31.

• JohnGreer estimated 65% on 2018-04-13
• Athrithalix estimated 40% on 2018-04-13
• Jotto999 estimated 35% on 2018-04-14
• davatk estimated 20% on 2018-04-17
• peter_hurford estimated 30% on 2018-04-24
• pranomostro estimated 23% on 2018-11-25
• Baeboo estimated 23% on 2018-12-12
• deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-04-25
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2020-07-03
• Baeboo estimated 15% on 2020-11-20
• qznc estimated 10% on 2022-01-02
• Baeboo estimated 10% on 2022-01-04
• n99 estimated 1% on 2022-10-28
• Reinersaltaccount estimated 4% and said “#finance” on 2023-03-12
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2023-08-31.