'African elephants are on the brink of extinction' in 2024

Created by gwern on 2010-10-27; known in 9 days

• gwern estimated 70% on 2010-10-27
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2020-2029.htm#elephants” on 2010-10-27
• gwern said “kind of vague, but I guess I will judge this one a success if <1000 are left even in parks” on 2010-10-27
• JoshuaZ estimated 60% on 2011-01-01
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 64% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 40% and said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/African_elephant#Population_estimates_and_poaching” on 2019-01-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 62% on 2019-01-09