Computers are embedded everywhere in the environment (inside of furniture, jewelry, walls, clothing, etc.). —Ray Kurzweil

Created by gwern on 2010-10-27; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by HonoreDB on 2020-01-02.

  • gwern estimated 20% on 2010-10-27
  • gwern said “ 2010-10-27
  • gwern said “and they will be doing what useful tasks, exactly?on 2010-10-27
  • kallman estimated 25% and said “Computers? Nah. Components that interact with computers? (QR codes, RFID), more likely!on 2010-11-22
  • themusicgod1 estimated 50% and said “everywhere is kind of hard to measure, but IoT is already huge.on 2016-10-07
  • pranomostro estimated 15% on 2019-01-08
  • HonoreDB said “I think this is a meaningfully wrong prediction. I can imagine a 2020 where we’re putting computers in everything so that they can network together to perform ad-hoc distributed tasks. We got Cloud Computing 2020 instead.on 2020-01-02
  • HonoreDB   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-02.

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