People communicate with their computers via two-way speech and gestures instead of with keyboards. Furthermore, most of this interaction occurs through computerized assistants with different personalities that the user can select or customize. —Ray Kurz

Created by gwern on 2010-10-27; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-08.

• gwern estimated 15% on 2010-10-27
• gwern said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#2020-2050” on 2010-10-27
• gwern said “inefficient & slow, IMO” on 2010-10-27
• themusicgod1 said “2016: Most computer interaction happens through touchscreens and voice recognition. Does that count? Or does Siri need to be able to be more moody?” on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 10% on 2019-01-08
• pranomostro said “Although I’m probably underestimating the amount of voice-interaction, since I don’t use it.” on 2019-01-08
• pranomostro estimated 20% on 2019-01-08
• Bruno Parga said “I’d like to vote this wrong. I think interaction through keyboards, mice and tapping on screens (which is different from gestures, even on phones) is still the primary mode of interaction. (Let alone the customized assistants part)” on 2020-01-01
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-08.