People communicate with their computers via two-way speech and gestures instead of with keyboards. Furthermore, most of this interaction occurs through computerized assistants with different personalities that the user can select or customize. —Ray Kurz

Created by gwern on 2010-10-27; known 27 days ago; judged wrong by Bruno Parga 20 days ago.

  • gwern estimated 15% on 2010-10-27
  • gwern said “ 2010-10-27
  • gwern said “inefficient & slow, IMOon 2010-10-27
  • themusicgod1 said “2016: Most computer interaction happens through touchscreens and voice recognition. Does that count? Or does Siri need to be able to be more moody?on 2016-10-07
  • pranomostro estimated 10% on 2019-01-08
  • pranomostro said “Although I’m probably underestimating the amount of voice-interaction, since I don’t use it.on 2019-01-08
  • pranomostro estimated 20% on 2019-01-08
  • Bruno Parga said “I’d like to vote this wrong. I think interaction through keyboards, mice and tapping on screens (which is different from gestures, even on phones) is still the primary mode of interaction. (Let alone the customized assistants part)27 days ago
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong 20 days ago.

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