Mass casaulties (>3000) from bioterrorism by 2030

Created by gwern on 2010-10-30; known on 2031-01-01

• gwern estimated 65% on 2010-10-30
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2020-2029.htm#bioterrorism” on 2010-10-30
• gwern said “link is vague; I’ve made it more concrete” on 2010-10-30
• anonym estimated 75% on 2010-11-27
• Malgidus estimated 75% on 2013-03-27
• JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2013-03-28
• RandomThinker estimated 25% on 2013-03-28
• simplicio estimated 50% and said “Assuming this means >3000 in one incident?” on 2013-03-28
• themusicgod1 estimated 4% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 70% on 2019-01-08