Three-dimensional nanotube lattices are the dominant computing substrate by 2020. —Ray Kurzweil
Created by gwern on 2010-11-12; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2020-01-01.
- gwern estimated 20% on 2010-11-12
- gwern said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#2019” on 2010-11-12
- gwern said “might be hard to judge this one since silicon tech might slowly develop into this…” on 2010-11-12
- themusicgod1 estimated 3% on 2016-10-07
- pranomostro estimated 2% on 2019-01-08
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.