Massively parallel neural nets and genetic algorithms are in wide use by 2020. —Ray Kurzweil

Created by gwern on 2010-11-12; known 27 days ago

  • gwern estimated 95% on 2010-11-12
  • gwern said “ 2010-11-12
  • gwern said “I think this one is already true! they’re common techniqueson 2010-11-12
  • halfwit estimated 100% on 2013-06-10
  • themusicgod1 estimated 88% on 2016-04-15
  • jesselevine said “I’m a third-year neuroscience student. This prediction needs to be clarified about the scope because to some degree this is already true. Human-level connectomics by 2020 though? You’re a dreameron 2016-04-15
  • pranomostro estimated 98% on 2019-01-08
  • Bruno Parga said “As usual with this dude’s predictions, this is underspecified – what’s “wide use”?27 days ago

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