Most learning is accomplished through intelligent, adaptive courseware presented by computer-simulated teachers. In the learning process, human adults fill the counselor and mentor roles instead of being academic instructors. —Ray Kurzweil

Created by gwern on 2010-11-12; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2010-11-12
  • gwern said “ 2010-11-12
  • gwern said “prediction is right, but the timing?on 2010-11-12
  • gimpf estimated 3% and said ““most learning” – I even doubt that for academia/companies in developed nations, not to speak of anywhere else.on 2010-12-12
  • Pablo Stafforini estimated 4% and said “Good prediction; terrible timing.on 2012-10-01
  • themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-07
  • Athrithalix estimated 6% on 2018-02-22
  • pranomostro estimated 5% on 2019-01-08
  • Bruno Parga said “I’d say this prediction is substantially different from ‘most teaching is accomplished…’ Native language and basic motor skills learning are learning 100% of people do, yet require no explicit instruction.on 2019-12-30
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.

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