Most learning is accomplished through intelligent, adaptive courseware presented by computer-simulated teachers. In the learning process, human adults fill the counselor and mentor roles instead of being academic instructors. —Ray Kurzweil

Created by gwern on 2010-11-12; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.

• gwern estimated 30% on 2010-11-12
• gwern said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#2019” on 2010-11-12
• gwern said “prediction is right, but the timing?” on 2010-11-12
• gimpf estimated 3% and said ““most learning” – I even doubt that for academia/companies in developed nations, not to speak of anywhere else.” on 2010-12-12
• Pablo estimated 4% and said “Good prediction; terrible timing.” on 2012-10-01
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-07
• Athrithalix estimated 6% on 2018-02-22
• pranomostro estimated 5% on 2019-01-08
• Bruno Parga said “I’d say this prediction is substantially different from ‘most teaching is accomplished…’ Native language and basic motor skills learning are learning 100% of people do, yet require no explicit instruction.” on 2019-12-30
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-01.