Apple will release their desktop OS as software only before 2015

Created by raavin on 2010-11-18; known on 2015-12-31; judged wrong by btrettel on 2015-06-11.

• raavin estimated 90% on 2010-11-18
• gwern estimated 20% and said “history disagrees” on 2010-11-18
• stephenh estimated 25% on 2010-12-11
• gimpf estimated 5% on 2010-12-12
• PseudonymousUser estimated 10% on 2011-01-21
• saturn estimated 10% on 2012-03-28
• btrettel   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-06-11.