The European Union will unite into a single super state by 2030.

Created by PatrickAchtelik on 2010-11-24; known on 2030-01-01; judged unknown by muflax on 2010-12-12.

  • PatrickAchtelik estimated 80% on 2010-11-24
  • gwern estimated 20% and said “This sounds way vague & unjudgeable. what is a superstate? by many standards, the EU is a stateon 2010-11-24
  • kallman estimated 10% and said “Too much water under the bridge. As willing as some seem to be to forget the past, many will never forgive attrocities of a millenium ago.on 2010-11-26
  • Nic_Smith estimated 25% on 2010-11-26
  • muflax   judged this prediction wrong on 2010-12-12.
  • muflax   judged this prediction unknown on 2010-12-12.
  • gimpf estimated 10% and said “If this means EU-wide uniform taxing (to some degree), central army, single passport, single constitution, single penal law, then no.on 2010-12-12
  • seifip estimated 40% on 2013-04-14
  • themusicgod1 said “[x] central army [x] single constitution[ discussions ongoing ] – single passport. Penal law? Does the US have that?on 2016-10-07
  • pranomostro estimated 15% on 2019-01-07
  • Baeboo estimated 11% on 2019-01-08
  • amadeu estimated 10% on 2019-04-07
  • Baeboo estimated 8% on 2020-05-27
  • wizzwizz4 estimated 5% and said “There are blockers. And those aren’t insurmountable hurdles, but I don’t think anybody cares to surmount them.on 2020-05-27
  • JoshuaZ estimated 4% on 2020-05-27
  • Baeboo estimated 4% on 2020-05-27
  • NickN estimated 3% and said “Do all current members have to unite? Prediction was made before Brexit, would UK have to be part of that superstate?on 2020-08-16

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