India's GDP in PPP will be roughly half that of the EU or USA in 2020. —Shane Legg

Created by gwern on 2010-12-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2019-12-30.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2010-12-10
• gwern said “cf legg on China being 75% of US of EU (rather than 50%): http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1984” on 2010-12-10
• gwern said “source: http://www.vetta.org/2009/12/the-teenies/” on 2010-12-10
• themusicgod1 estimated 28% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 70% and said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_, seems close enough to “roughly” to me.” on 2019-01-08
• Bruno Parga said “Wiki says that’s pretty much on the money: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_ — EU 22.8tn, US 21.4, India 11.3” on 2019-12-30
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction right on 2019-12-30.