HP MOR: Dumbledore is Hat and Cloak

Created by pkfalu92 on 2013-06-30; known on 2015-06-30; judged wrong by rictic on 2015-05-16.

• pkfalu92 estimated 60% on 2013-06-30
• bt_uytya estimated 10% on 2013-07-01
• gwern said “dupe: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/6478” on 2013-07-01
• rictic   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-05-16.