Donald Trump will be elected president in the 2020 presidential elections.

Created by korakos on 2020-04-30; known on 2020-11-05; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-11-07.

• korakos estimated 40% on 2020-04-30
• batemancapital estimated 70% on 2020-05-01
• AndreBaptiste estimated 80% and said “As of right now it appears that Trump will be running against Biden. If this changes my prediction may change.” on 2020-05-02
• Luca estimated 75% and said “He is still strong. The covid outbreak has made him even stronger. ” on 2020-05-02
• sty.silver estimated 50% on 2020-05-02
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 45% and said “Anyone predicting either outcome with >65% certainty at this stage is pretty overconfident IMO.” on 2020-05-07
• Medea estimated 40% on 2020-05-10
• JohnGreer estimated 65% on 2020-05-13
• matteo estimated 40% on 2020-05-15
• deoh estimated 40% on 2020-06-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 48% on 2020-06-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 49% on 2020-06-09
• MultiplyByZer0 estimated 40% on 2020-06-12
• qznc estimated 50% on 2020-06-12
• JoshuaZ estimated 47% on 2020-06-15
• jamesrom said “Duplicate of https://predictionbook.com/predictions/196105” on 2020-06-16
• PseudonymousUser estimated 45% on 2020-06-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 48% and said “Noting updating on on dexamethasone treatment for COVID; not enough for a full movement of a percentage point in my estimate but enough to plausibly move the needle a little. ” on 2020-06-16
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 35% and said “All the polling averages show Biden in a pretty commanding lead. Still plenty of time but Trump is definitely an underdog at this point.” on 2020-07-09
• PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-07.