Donald Trump will be elected president in the 2020 presidential elections.

Created by korakos on 2020-04-30; known on 2020-11-05

  • korakos estimated 40% on 2020-04-30
  • batemancapital estimated 70% on 2020-05-01
  • AndreBaptiste estimated 80% and said “As of right now it appears that Trump will be running against Biden. If this changes my prediction may change.on 2020-05-02
  • Raido estimated 75% and said “He is still strong. The covid outbreak has made him even stronger. on 2020-05-02
  • sty.silver estimated 50% on 2020-05-02
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 45% and said “Anyone predicting either outcome with >65% certainty at this stage is pretty overconfident IMO.on 2020-05-07
  • Medea estimated 40% on 2020-05-10
  • JohnGreer estimated 65% on 2020-05-13
  • matteo estimated 40% on 2020-05-15
  • deoh estimated 40% on 2020-06-06
  • JoshuaZ estimated 48% on 2020-06-06
  • JoshuaZ estimated 49% on 2020-06-09
  • MultiplyByZer0 estimated 40% on 2020-06-12
  • qznc estimated 50% on 2020-06-12
  • JoshuaZ estimated 47% on 2020-06-15
  • jamesrom said “Duplicate of https://predictionbook.com/predictions/196105on 2020-06-16
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 45% on 2020-06-16
  • JoshuaZ estimated 48% and said “Noting updating on on dexamethasone treatment for COVID; not enough for a full movement of a percentage point in my estimate but enough to plausibly move the needle a little. on 2020-06-16
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 35% and said “All the polling averages show Biden in a pretty commanding lead. Still plenty of time but Trump is definitely an underdog at this point.on 2020-07-09

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