HP MOR: Events of ch 89 aren't what they appear to be.

Created by bt_uytya on 2013-07-01; known on 2015-07-01; judged wrong by David on 2015-06-23.

• bt_uytya estimated 30% on 2013-07-01
• gwern said “That is rather vague.” on 2013-07-01
• bt_uytya said “It was about Hermione being Polyjuiced, Time-Turned, or something – so she didn’t die (ressurection later don’t count). I was not sure about blatant spoilers in a prediction title so I copied the title of relevant Reddit thread.” on 2013-07-01
• bt_uytya estimated 5% on 2013-07-01
• gwern said “Fortunately, Eliezer and the reddit mods have no control over PB so I do not support their neurotic anti-spoiler policies. You can be as explicit as you like, and I strongly encourage you to be so and make specific, falsifiable, predictions.” on 2013-07-01
• bt_uytya said “I can understand why anti-spoiler policy on reddit us bad (if you haven’t read latest chapter, what are you doing here?), but PredictionBook is a place where somebody can get spoiled not because of stupidy, but by accident.” on 2013-07-02
• ygert said “I’ll chime in with bt_uytya. The anti-spoiler policies on the subreddit are pretty silly, because that is a subreddit specifically about HPMOR. But here on the wider internet, it makes sense to take a bit of care about spoilers.” on 2013-07-02
• jaibot estimated 80% and said “/r/hpmor mod here. I agree the spoiler policy got a bit out of hand, we’ve scaled it back now.” on 2013-07-02
• David   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-06-23.